🌡️Intro to Climate Science Unit 17 – Climate Policy & Global Negotiations

Key Climate Concepts

• Greenhouse effect traps heat in Earth's atmosphere due to gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4)
• Anthropogenic climate change refers to human-induced changes in Earth's climate system
  • Primarily caused by burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) and land use changes (deforestation, agriculture)
• Climate sensitivity measures how much global temperatures rise in response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations
• Tipping points are thresholds in the climate system that, if crossed, can lead to irreversible and abrupt changes (melting of Greenland ice sheet, collapse of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation)
• Climate adaptation involves adjusting to actual or expected climate impacts to reduce vulnerability and enhance resilience
• Climate mitigation focuses on reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing carbon sinks to limit future climate change
• Carbon budget represents the cumulative amount of CO2 that can be emitted to stay below a certain temperature threshold (1.5°C or 2°C above pre-industrial levels)

Historical Context of Climate Policy

• Scientific understanding of climate change has evolved since the 19th century with the work of scientists like Joseph Fourier, John Tyndall, and Svante Arrhenius
• The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was established in 1988 to assess the scientific, technical, and socio-economic information relevant to climate change
• The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was adopted in 1992 at the Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • Objective is to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that prevents dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system
• The Kyoto Protocol, adopted in 1997, set legally binding emission reduction targets for developed countries
  • Introduced market-based mechanisms like emissions trading and the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
• The Paris Agreement, adopted in 2015, aims to limit global temperature rise to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C
  • Introduced nationally determined contributions (NDCs) for all countries to communicate their climate actions

Major International Climate Agreements

• United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) provides the foundation for international climate cooperation and negotiations
• Kyoto Protocol (1997) set legally binding emission reduction targets for developed countries (Annex I Parties) for the period 2008-2012
  • Extended to a second commitment period (2013-2020) through the Doha Amendment
• Copenhagen Accord (2009) recognized the scientific view that global temperature increase should be kept below 2°C
  • Introduced voluntary emission reduction pledges for both developed and developing countries
• Paris Agreement (2015) aims to strengthen the global response to climate change by keeping global temperature rise well below 2°C and pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5°C
  • Requires all countries to submit nationally determined contributions (NDCs) outlining their climate actions
  • Establishes a global goal on adaptation and a mechanism for loss and damage associated with climate change impacts
• Kigali Amendment to the Montreal Protocol (2016) aims to phase down the production and consumption of hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), powerful greenhouse gases used in refrigeration and air conditioning

Key Players in Global Climate Negotiations

• United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Secretariat facilitates international climate negotiations and supports the implementation of agreements
• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) provides scientific assessments on climate change, its impacts, and response options to inform policy-making
• Developed countries (Annex I Parties) have historically contributed the most to greenhouse gas emissions and have greater financial and technological capacity to address climate change
  • Include the United States, European Union, Japan, Canada, Australia, and others
• Developing countries (Non-Annex I Parties) are more vulnerable to climate change impacts and have less capacity to adapt and mitigate
  • Include China, India, Brazil, South Africa, and many others
• Small Island Developing States (SIDS) are particularly vulnerable to sea-level rise and extreme weather events
  • Advocate for ambitious climate action and support for adaptation and loss and damage
• Civil society organizations (environmental NGOs, youth movements, indigenous groups) play a crucial role in advocating for climate action and holding governments accountable
• Private sector actors (businesses, investors) can drive the transition to a low-carbon economy through investments, innovation, and voluntary commitments

Policy Instruments for Climate Action

• Carbon pricing puts a price on greenhouse gas emissions to incentivize emission reductions
  • Can take the form of a carbon tax or an emissions trading system (cap-and-trade)
• Renewable energy policies promote the deployment of clean energy technologies like solar, wind, and hydro power
  • Include feed-in tariffs, renewable portfolio standards, and tax incentives
• Energy efficiency standards and labeling programs encourage the adoption of energy-efficient products and practices in buildings, appliances, and industry
• Fossil fuel subsidy reform aims to phase out subsidies for the production and consumption of fossil fuels, which can distort markets and encourage wasteful consumption
• Land use policies aim to reduce emissions from deforestation and land degradation and enhance carbon sequestration in soils and vegetation
  • Include REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation) and sustainable land management practices
• Climate finance mechanisms mobilize and channel financial resources for climate mitigation and adaptation in developing countries
  • Include the Green Climate Fund (GCF), the Global Environment Facility (GEF), and bilateral and multilateral development banks

Challenges in Implementing Climate Policies

• Political barriers, such as lack of political will, short-term thinking, and influence of fossil fuel interests, can hinder the adoption and implementation of ambitious climate policies
• Economic challenges include the upfront costs of transitioning to a low-carbon economy, distributional impacts on certain sectors and regions, and concerns about international competitiveness
• Social and behavioral barriers involve changing deeply entrenched habits, norms, and lifestyles that contribute to high carbon footprints
  • Requires education, awareness-raising, and incentives to encourage sustainable behaviors
• Technological hurdles include the need for further innovation, deployment, and cost reduction of clean energy technologies, as well as the development of negative emission technologies
• Institutional and governance challenges involve coordinating climate action across multiple levels of government, sectors, and stakeholders, as well as ensuring transparency, accountability, and public participation
• Equity and justice considerations, such as the fair distribution of costs and benefits of climate policies, the protection of vulnerable communities, and the respect for human rights, need to be addressed

Future Directions in Climate Governance

• Strengthening the ambition of nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to align with the goals of the Paris Agreement and the latest scientific findings
• Enhancing international cooperation on climate finance, technology transfer, and capacity building to support developing countries in their climate actions
• Mainstreaming climate considerations into all areas of decision-making, including economic planning, infrastructure development, and social policies
• Promoting nature-based solutions, such as ecosystem restoration and sustainable land management, to deliver multiple benefits for climate, biodiversity, and human well-being
• Fostering inclusive and participatory climate governance that engages all stakeholders, including youth, indigenous peoples, and local communities
• Developing long-term low-emission development strategies (LT-LEDS) to guide the transition to net-zero emissions by mid-century
• Strengthening the global stocktake process under the Paris Agreement to assess collective progress towards its goals and inform future actions
• Exploring innovative approaches to climate governance, such as climate clubs, carbon border adjustments, and climate litigation, to accelerate climate action

Case Studies and Real-World Applications

• The European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU ETS), launched in 2005, is the world's largest carbon market, covering around 40% of the EU's greenhouse gas emissions
  • Has contributed to significant emission reductions in the power and industry sectors
• China's national carbon market, launched in 2021, covers the power sector and is expected to expand to other sectors over time
  • Has the potential to drive emission reductions in the world's largest emitting country
• Costa Rica has set a goal to become carbon neutral by 2050 and has implemented a range of policies, including a carbon tax, payments for ecosystem services, and sustainable land use practices
  • Demonstrates the feasibility of pursuing ambitious climate action while promoting economic development and social well-being
• The Adaptation Fund, established under the Kyoto Protocol, has supported concrete adaptation projects in developing countries, such as climate-resilient agriculture, water management, and disaster risk reduction
  • Showcases the importance of dedicated funding and local ownership in building resilience to climate impacts
• The Powering Past Coal Alliance, launched in 2017, is a coalition of countries, subnational governments, and businesses committed to phasing out unabated coal power
  • Highlights the role of international partnerships in accelerating the transition away from fossil fuels
• Youth-led climate movements, such as Fridays for Future and the Sunrise Movement, have mobilized millions of people around the world to demand bold climate action from decision-makers
  • Demonstrates the power of grassroots activism and intergenerational solidarity in shaping the climate agenda