7.2 Managed retreat

Managed retreat is a proactive coastal management strategy that relocates communities and infrastructure away from high-risk areas. It addresses long-term climate change impacts, enhancing safety and resilience while preserving natural ecosystems.

This approach requires careful planning, stakeholder engagement, and interdisciplinary collaboration. It balances immediate economic impacts with long-term sustainability goals, presenting both challenges and opportunities for coastal communities facing increasing environmental threats.

Definition of managed retreat

• Managed retreat involves the strategic relocation of communities and infrastructure away from high-risk coastal areas to reduce vulnerability to sea-level rise, erosion, and flooding
• Plays a crucial role in coastal resilience engineering by proactively addressing long-term climate change impacts and enhancing community safety
• Requires interdisciplinary approach combining urban planning, environmental science, and social considerations

Historical context

Top images from around the web for Historical context

• 

  File:Hurricane Katrina August 28 2005 NASA.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Cape Hatteras lighthouse North Carolina.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Katrina 2nd landfall.jpg - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Hurricane Katrina August 28 2005 NASA.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Cape Hatteras lighthouse North Carolina.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

1 of 3

Top images from around the web for Historical context

• 

  File:Hurricane Katrina August 28 2005 NASA.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Cape Hatteras lighthouse North Carolina.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Katrina 2nd landfall.jpg - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Hurricane Katrina August 28 2005 NASA.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

• 

  File:Cape Hatteras lighthouse North Carolina.jpg - Wikipedia View original

  Is this image relevant?

1 of 3

• Emerged as a coastal management strategy in the late 20th century in response to increasing coastal hazards
• Early examples include the relocation of Cape Hatteras Lighthouse in North Carolina (1999)
• Gained prominence after major disasters like Hurricane Katrina (2005) highlighted vulnerabilities of coastal communities
• Evolved from reactive post-disaster relocations to proactive planning for future climate risks

Key objectives

• Reduce exposure to coastal hazards by moving people and assets out of high-risk areas
• Minimize long-term costs associated with repeated disaster recovery and infrastructure maintenance
• Preserve natural coastal ecosystems by allowing for their landward migration as sea levels rise
• Enhance community resilience through strategic relocation to safer areas
• Balance immediate economic impacts with long-term sustainability and safety goals

Planning process for retreat

• Involves comprehensive assessment of coastal risks, community needs, and environmental factors
• Requires long-term vision and adaptive planning to account for changing climate conditions
• Integrates scientific data, economic analysis, and social considerations to develop effective retreat strategies

Stakeholder engagement

• Involves early and continuous communication with affected communities, local governments, and property owners
• Utilizes public meetings, workshops, and surveys to gather input and address concerns
• Incorporates local knowledge and preferences into retreat planning
• Addresses potential conflicts and builds consensus through facilitated dialogues
• Ensures transparency in decision-making processes to build trust and support

Risk assessment

• Evaluates current and future coastal hazards using climate projections and sea-level rise scenarios
• Assesses vulnerability of infrastructure, buildings, and populations to flooding, erosion, and storm surge
• Utilizes GIS mapping and modeling tools to identify high-risk areas and prioritize retreat zones
• Considers cascading impacts on critical systems (transportation, utilities, emergency services)
• Incorporates uncertainty analysis to account for different climate change scenarios

Cost-benefit analysis

• Compares long-term costs of maintaining coastal defenses vs. implementing managed retreat
• Quantifies potential losses from future disasters and recurring damages
• Evaluates economic benefits of new land uses in retreat areas (recreation, tourism, ecosystem services)
• Assesses social costs and benefits, including community disruption and improved quality of life
• Incorporates non-monetary factors such as environmental preservation and cultural heritage

Implementation strategies

• Require careful planning and phasing to minimize disruption and maximize effectiveness
• Must be tailored to local contexts, considering social, economic, and environmental factors
• Often involve a combination of approaches to address diverse community needs and constraints

Voluntary vs mandatory relocation

• Voluntary programs offer incentives for residents to relocate willingly (financial assistance, property swaps)
• Mandatory relocation involves government-enforced moves, typically used in high-risk or post-disaster scenarios
• Voluntary approaches often face challenges of low participation rates and selective migration
• Mandatory relocations can lead to social resistance and legal challenges
• Hybrid approaches may combine voluntary incentives with eventual mandatory measures for holdouts

Phased vs immediate withdrawal

• Phased withdrawal involves gradual relocation over extended periods (years to decades)
  • Allows for smoother transitions and adaptive planning
  • Reduces immediate economic shocks and social disruption
• Immediate withdrawal occurs rapidly, often in response to acute disasters or imminent threats
  • Minimizes exposure to immediate risks
  • Can be more challenging to implement due to logistical and social complexities
• Choice between phased and immediate withdrawal depends on risk urgency and community readiness

Buyout programs

• Government purchases properties in high-risk areas at fair market value
• Can be voluntary or mandatory, depending on risk level and policy framework
• Often include relocation assistance and support for finding new housing
• Acquired properties are typically converted to open space or natural buffers
• Challenges include funding limitations, property valuation disputes, and ensuring equitable participation
• Successful examples include New York's post-Hurricane Sandy buyout program in Staten Island

Environmental considerations

• Managed retreat offers opportunities to restore and enhance coastal ecosystems
• Requires careful planning to minimize ecological disruption during relocation process
• Integrates with broader coastal zone management and climate adaptation strategies

Ecosystem restoration

• Allows for the re-establishment of natural coastal habitats (wetlands, mangroves, dunes)
• Removes artificial structures that impede natural coastal processes
• Enhances biodiversity by creating space for species migration and adaptation
• Improves water quality by reducing urban runoff and pollution sources
• Requires active restoration efforts such as native plant reintroduction and invasive species management

Habitat conservation

• Preserves critical habitats for threatened and endangered coastal species
• Creates corridors for wildlife movement and adaptation to changing conditions
• Protects breeding and nesting sites for migratory birds and marine animals
• Maintains genetic diversity by allowing for natural ecosystem dynamics
• Integrates with broader conservation initiatives and protected area networks

Natural flood protection

• Restores natural flood buffers such as salt marshes, mangroves, and coastal forests
• Enhances the capacity of ecosystems to absorb and dissipate wave energy
• Reduces erosion rates and stabilizes shorelines through vegetation and sediment processes
• Provides cost-effective alternatives to hard engineering solutions (seawalls, levees)
• Improves water retention and groundwater recharge, reducing flood risks in adjacent areas

Social and economic impacts

• Managed retreat significantly affects community structures, local economies, and individual livelihoods
• Requires comprehensive planning to address both short-term disruptions and long-term transformations
• Presents opportunities for community reinvention and sustainable development in new locations

Community displacement

• Involves the physical relocation of residents, businesses, and community facilities
• Disrupts social networks, cultural practices, and sense of place
• Requires careful planning to maintain community cohesion in new locations
• Presents challenges for vulnerable populations (elderly, low-income, minorities)
• Offers opportunities for improving housing quality and community design in relocation sites

Property value changes

• Typically leads to decreased property values in retreat zones due to increased risk perception
• Can result in increased values in safer areas designated for relocation
• Impacts local tax bases and municipal revenues
• Requires mechanisms to compensate property owners for losses
• May create speculative real estate markets in both retreat and receiving areas

Economic restructuring

• Shifts economic activities away from coastal-dependent industries (fishing, tourism)
• Encourages development of new economic sectors in relocation areas
• Impacts job markets and employment patterns
• Requires workforce retraining and economic diversification strategies
• Presents opportunities for developing more resilient and sustainable local economies

Legal and policy frameworks

• Managed retreat requires robust legal and policy foundations to ensure effective implementation
• Involves complex interactions between federal, state, and local regulations
• Must balance private property rights with public safety and environmental protection goals

Land use regulations

• Implements coastal setback lines and building restrictions in high-risk areas
• Establishes special management zones for gradual retreat implementation
• Requires updates to comprehensive plans and local ordinances
• Integrates future climate projections into land use decision-making
• Faces challenges of grandfathered properties and existing development rights

Eminent domain

• Allows government acquisition of private property for public use with just compensation
• Can be used as a last resort for mandatory relocations in high-risk areas
• Faces legal and political challenges due to property rights concerns
• Requires clear demonstration of public benefit and necessity
• Often combined with voluntary programs to minimize use of eminent domain powers

Zoning changes

• Rezones high-risk coastal areas for low-intensity uses (open space, recreation)
• Creates new zones in safer areas to accommodate relocated development
• Implements overlay districts with special retreat-related regulations
• Faces challenges of existing non-conforming uses and development expectations
• Requires coordination between multiple jurisdictions for regional effectiveness

Funding mechanisms

• Adequate and sustainable funding is crucial for successful managed retreat implementation
• Requires diverse funding sources to address various aspects of retreat (property acquisition, relocation assistance, ecosystem restoration)
• Involves complex financial planning to balance immediate costs with long-term benefits

Government grants

• Federal programs like FEMA's Hazard Mitigation Grant Program provide funding for retreat projects
• State-level grants support local governments in planning and implementing retreat strategies
• Often require cost-sharing or matching funds from local sources
• Can be competitive and limited in availability, requiring strategic project development
• May have specific eligibility criteria and reporting requirements

Insurance programs

• National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) influences retreat decisions through risk-based premiums
• Some insurers offer coverage for managed retreat expenses or relocation costs
• Risk transfer mechanisms (catastrophe bonds, parametric insurance) can support large-scale retreat efforts
• Challenges include maintaining affordable coverage while accurately reflecting risk
• Opportunities for developing new insurance products tailored to managed retreat scenarios

Public-private partnerships

• Collaborations between government agencies, private developers, and non-profit organizations
• Can leverage private capital for large-scale retreat and redevelopment projects
• Involves risk-sharing arrangements and innovative financing models
• Examples include green bonds for ecosystem restoration in retreat areas
• Requires careful structuring to ensure public benefits and equitable outcomes

Case studies

• Provide valuable insights into the practical challenges and successes of managed retreat
• Offer lessons for improving future retreat planning and implementation
• Demonstrate the diverse contexts and approaches to managed retreat globally

Successful retreat examples

• Isle de Jean Charles, Louisiana: Relocation of Native American community due to severe land loss
• Grantham, Australia: Post-flood voluntary relocation program with high participation rates
• Oakwood Beach, New York: Community-led buyout program after Hurricane Sandy
• Kiruna, Sweden: Phased relocation of entire town due to mining-induced ground instability
• Tackle key factors contributing to success (community engagement, adequate funding, clear planning)

Failed retreat attempts

• Valmeyer, Illinois: Initial resistance to relocation after 1993 Mississippi River floods
• Shishmaref, Alaska: Ongoing challenges in relocating Inupiat village threatened by erosion
• New Orleans, Louisiana: Difficulties in implementing retreat strategies post-Hurricane Katrina
• Analyze reasons for failure (lack of community buy-in, insufficient resources, political obstacles)
• Identify missed opportunities and potential improvements for future retreat efforts

Lessons learned

• Importance of early and continuous community engagement throughout the retreat process
• Need for clear communication of risks and benefits to build public support
• Significance of addressing social equity and cultural preservation in retreat planning
• Value of flexible and adaptive approaches to accommodate changing conditions
• Critical role of strong political leadership and intergovernmental coordination
• Necessity of long-term funding commitments and diverse financing strategies

Challenges and limitations

• Managed retreat faces numerous obstacles that can hinder its implementation and effectiveness
• Requires innovative solutions and adaptive approaches to overcome these challenges
• Understanding limitations helps in developing more realistic and achievable retreat strategies

Public resistance

• Emotional attachments to place and reluctance to leave familiar environments
• Concerns about loss of community identity and social networks
• Skepticism about climate change projections and risk assessments
• Fear of economic losses and uncertainties in new locations
• Distrust of government intentions and decision-making processes
• Strategies to address resistance include extensive community engagement, education, and participatory planning

Financial constraints

• High upfront costs of property acquisition and relocation assistance
• Limited availability of funding for large-scale retreat projects
• Challenges in securing long-term financial commitments from various sources
• Difficulties in quantifying long-term benefits to justify immediate expenditures
• Competing priorities for limited public resources and budget allocations
• Innovative financing mechanisms and public-private partnerships can help address these constraints

Political barriers

• Short-term political cycles misaligned with long-term retreat planning horizons
• Reluctance of elected officials to support potentially unpopular retreat policies
• Jurisdictional conflicts between different levels of government
• Lobbying pressures from real estate and development interests
• Challenges in coordinating policies across multiple agencies and sectors
• Building broad coalitions and demonstrating economic benefits can help overcome political obstacles

Integration with other strategies

• Managed retreat is often most effective when combined with complementary coastal management approaches
• Requires holistic planning to create comprehensive and resilient coastal adaptation strategies
• Balances immediate protection needs with long-term sustainability goals

Managed retreat vs fortification

• Retreat focuses on reducing exposure by moving assets away from hazards
• Fortification aims to protect in place through engineered structures (seawalls, levees)
• Retreat offers long-term sustainability but faces social and economic challenges
• Fortification provides immediate protection but may increase long-term vulnerability
• Decision between retreat and fortification depends on risk levels, costs, and community preferences
• Some areas may require fortification as an interim measure before eventual retreat

Hybrid approaches

• Combine elements of retreat with other adaptation strategies for optimal outcomes
• May include phased retreat with temporary protective measures
• Incorporate nature-based solutions (living shorelines) in retreat buffer zones
• Utilize adaptive management to adjust strategies based on monitoring and new information
• Examples include planned relocation zones behind restored mangrove forests
• Require flexible policies and funding mechanisms to support diverse interventions

Future outlook

• Managed retreat will likely become increasingly necessary as climate change impacts intensify
• Requires forward-thinking policies and planning to prepare for future coastal challenges
• Presents opportunities for reimagining coastal development and enhancing community resilience

Climate change projections

• Sea-level rise scenarios suggest increased need for retreat in many coastal areas
• More frequent and intense storms may accelerate coastal erosion and flooding risks
• Changes in precipitation patterns could affect groundwater levels and coastal stability
• Ocean acidification and warming may impact coastal ecosystems and their protective functions
• Uncertainty in projections necessitates adaptive planning and regular reassessment of retreat strategies

Adaptive management

• Implements flexible decision-making processes that can respond to changing conditions
• Incorporates monitoring systems to track coastal changes and evaluate retreat outcomes
• Allows for iterative adjustments to retreat plans based on new data and experiences
• Requires clear indicators and thresholds for triggering different management actions
• Facilitates learning and knowledge sharing between different retreat projects and regions

Long-term sustainability

• Aims to create resilient coastal communities that can thrive in changing environments
• Integrates retreat planning with broader sustainable development goals
• Explores opportunities for innovative land uses in retreat zones (renewable energy, eco-tourism)
• Considers long-term ecosystem health and biodiversity conservation in coastal management
• Addresses intergenerational equity by preserving options for future coastal adaptation
• Requires shifts in societal values and perceptions regarding coastal living and development